Lima Dua (Indonesia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 120.38

LUCY Stock  IDR 123.00  3.00  2.38%   
Lima Dua's future price is the expected price of Lima Dua instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lima Dua Lima performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lima Dua Backtesting, Lima Dua Valuation, Lima Dua Correlation, Lima Dua Hype Analysis, Lima Dua Volatility, Lima Dua History as well as Lima Dua Performance.
  
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Lima Dua Target Price Odds to finish below 120.38

The tendency of Lima Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  120.38  or more in 90 days
 123.00 90 days 120.38 
about 90.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lima Dua to drop to  120.38  or more in 90 days from now is about 90.42 (This Lima Dua Lima probability density function shows the probability of Lima Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lima Dua Lima price to stay between  120.38  and its current price of 123.0 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lima Dua Lima has a beta of -0.35. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lima Dua are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lima Dua Lima is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lima Dua Lima has an alpha of 0.437, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lima Dua Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lima Dua

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lima Dua Lima. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.13123.00125.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.8899.75135.30
Details

Lima Dua Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lima Dua is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lima Dua's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lima Dua Lima, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lima Dua within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
8.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Lima Dua Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lima Dua for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lima Dua Lima can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lima Dua Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lima Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lima Dua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lima Dua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float221.5 M

Lima Dua Technical Analysis

Lima Dua's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lima Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lima Dua Lima. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lima Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lima Dua Predictive Forecast Models

Lima Dua's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lima Dua's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lima Dua's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lima Dua Lima

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lima Dua for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lima Dua Lima help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lima Stock

Lima Dua financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lima with respect to the benefits of owning Lima Dua security.