LSI Software (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.48
| LSI Stock | 15.50 0.30 1.90% |
LSI |
LSI Software Target Price Odds to finish below 15.48
The tendency of LSI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 15.48 or more in 90 days |
| 15.50 | 90 days | 15.48 | about 86.36 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LSI Software to drop to 15.48 or more in 90 days from now is about 86.36 (This LSI Software SA probability density function shows the probability of LSI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LSI Software SA price to stay between 15.48 and its current price of 15.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LSI Software SA has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding LSI Software are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, LSI Software SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally LSI Software SA has an alpha of 0.0362, implying that it can generate a 0.0362 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). LSI Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LSI Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LSI Software SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LSI Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LSI Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LSI Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LSI Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LSI Software SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LSI Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
LSI Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LSI Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LSI Software SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
LSI Software Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LSI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LSI Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LSI Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.7 M |
LSI Software Technical Analysis
LSI Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LSI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LSI Software SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing LSI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LSI Software Predictive Forecast Models
LSI Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many LSI Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LSI Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LSI Software SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about LSI Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LSI Software SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for LSI Stock Analysis
When running LSI Software's price analysis, check to measure LSI Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LSI Software is operating at the current time. Most of LSI Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LSI Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LSI Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LSI Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.