Louisiana Pacific Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 118.6
| LPX Stock | USD 104.40 1.26 1.22% |
Louisiana |
Louisiana Pacific Target Price Odds to finish below 118.6
The tendency of Louisiana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 118.60 after 90 days |
| 104.40 | 90 days | 118.60 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Louisiana Pacific to stay under $ 118.60 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Louisiana Pacific probability density function shows the probability of Louisiana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Louisiana Pacific price to stay between its current price of $ 104.40 and $ 118.60 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.86 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 . This indicates Louisiana Pacific market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Louisiana Pacific is expected to follow. Additionally Louisiana Pacific has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Louisiana Pacific Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Louisiana Pacific
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Louisiana Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Louisiana Pacific Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Louisiana Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Louisiana Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Louisiana Pacific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Louisiana Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.006 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0026 |
Louisiana Pacific Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Louisiana Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Louisiana Pacific can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Louisiana Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Louisiana Pacific has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Louisiana-Pacific Dips More Than Broader Market What You Should Know |
Louisiana Pacific Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Louisiana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Louisiana Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Louisiana Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 72 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 222 M |
Louisiana Pacific Technical Analysis
Louisiana Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Louisiana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Louisiana Pacific. In general, you should focus on analyzing Louisiana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Louisiana Pacific Predictive Forecast Models
Louisiana Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Louisiana Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Louisiana Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Louisiana Pacific
Checking the ongoing alerts about Louisiana Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Louisiana Pacific help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Louisiana Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Louisiana Pacific has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Louisiana-Pacific Dips More Than Broader Market What You Should Know |
Additional Tools for Louisiana Stock Analysis
When running Louisiana Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Louisiana Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Louisiana Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Louisiana Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Louisiana Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Louisiana Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.