LIVZON PHARMAC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.78

LP6 Stock  EUR 3.28  0.12  3.53%   
LIVZON PHARMAC's future price is the expected price of LIVZON PHARMAC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LIVZON PHARMAC GRP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LIVZON PHARMAC Backtesting, LIVZON PHARMAC Valuation, LIVZON PHARMAC Correlation, LIVZON PHARMAC Hype Analysis, LIVZON PHARMAC Volatility, LIVZON PHARMAC History as well as LIVZON PHARMAC Performance.
  
Please specify LIVZON PHARMAC's target price for which you would like LIVZON PHARMAC odds to be computed.

LIVZON PHARMAC Target Price Odds to finish over 10.78

The tendency of LIVZON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 10.78  or more in 90 days
 3.28 90 days 10.78 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LIVZON PHARMAC to move over € 10.78  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This LIVZON PHARMAC GRP probability density function shows the probability of LIVZON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LIVZON PHARMAC GRP price to stay between its current price of € 3.28  and € 10.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon LIVZON PHARMAC has a beta of 0.47. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LIVZON PHARMAC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LIVZON PHARMAC GRP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LIVZON PHARMAC GRP has an alpha of 0.2344, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   LIVZON PHARMAC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LIVZON PHARMAC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LIVZON PHARMAC GRP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.723.285.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.783.345.90
Details

LIVZON PHARMAC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LIVZON PHARMAC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LIVZON PHARMAC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LIVZON PHARMAC GRP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LIVZON PHARMAC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

LIVZON PHARMAC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LIVZON PHARMAC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LIVZON PHARMAC GRP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

LIVZON PHARMAC Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LIVZON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LIVZON PHARMAC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LIVZON PHARMAC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0594
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.18
Shares Float500.3 M

LIVZON PHARMAC Technical Analysis

LIVZON PHARMAC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LIVZON Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LIVZON PHARMAC GRP. In general, you should focus on analyzing LIVZON Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LIVZON PHARMAC Predictive Forecast Models

LIVZON PHARMAC's time-series forecasting models is one of many LIVZON PHARMAC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LIVZON PHARMAC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LIVZON PHARMAC GRP

Checking the ongoing alerts about LIVZON PHARMAC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LIVZON PHARMAC GRP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in LIVZON Stock

LIVZON PHARMAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether LIVZON Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LIVZON with respect to the benefits of owning LIVZON PHARMAC security.