Lotus Resources (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.23
| LOT Stock | 0.20 0.01 4.76% |
Lotus |
Lotus Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.23
The tendency of Lotus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.23 after 90 days |
| 0.20 | 90 days | 0.23 | about 21.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lotus Resources to stay under 0.23 after 90 days from now is about 21.98 (This Lotus Resources probability density function shows the probability of Lotus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lotus Resources price to stay between its current price of 0.20 and 0.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lotus Resources has a beta of -0.8. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lotus Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lotus Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lotus Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lotus Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lotus Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lotus Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lotus Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lotus Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lotus Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lotus Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.8 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Lotus Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lotus Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lotus Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lotus Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lotus Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lotus Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 21.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (24.51 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.25 K). | |
| Lotus Resources has accumulated about 15.52 M in cash with (7.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lotus Resources Expands Uranium Resources at Letlhakane - TipRanks |
Lotus Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lotus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lotus Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lotus Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.3 M |
Lotus Resources Technical Analysis
Lotus Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lotus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lotus Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lotus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lotus Resources Predictive Forecast Models
Lotus Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lotus Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lotus Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lotus Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lotus Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lotus Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lotus Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lotus Resources has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lotus Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 21.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (24.51 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.25 K). | |
| Lotus Resources has accumulated about 15.52 M in cash with (7.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Lotus Resources Expands Uranium Resources at Letlhakane - TipRanks |
Additional Tools for Lotus Stock Analysis
When running Lotus Resources' price analysis, check to measure Lotus Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lotus Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Lotus Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lotus Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lotus Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lotus Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.