Lotus Resources Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

LOT Stock   0.20  0.01  4.76%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Lotus Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.77. Lotus Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Lotus Resources' Common Stock Total Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 1.7 B in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 1.7 M in 2024.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Lotus Resources price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Lotus Resources Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Lotus Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lotus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lotus Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lotus Resources Stock Forecast Pattern

JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Oct 1Oct 9Oct 17Oct 25Nov 4Nov 12Nov 20Nov 28Dec 6Dec 160.200.220.240.260.280.300.32
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Lotus Resources Lotus Resources forecast
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Lotus Resources Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lotus Resources' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lotus Resources' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.82, respectively. We have considered Lotus Resources' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.20
0.22
Expected Value
5.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lotus Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lotus Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1008
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0127
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0482
SAESum of the absolute errors0.772
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Lotus Resources historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Lotus Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lotus Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.215.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.205.80
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.00250.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Lotus Resources

For every potential investor in Lotus, whether a beginner or expert, Lotus Resources' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lotus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lotus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lotus Resources' price trends.

Lotus Resources Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lotus Resources stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lotus Resources could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lotus Resources by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lotus Resources Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lotus Resources' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lotus Resources' current price.

Lotus Resources Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lotus Resources stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lotus Resources shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lotus Resources stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lotus Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lotus Resources Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lotus Resources' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lotus Resources' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lotus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Lotus Stock Analysis

When running Lotus Resources' price analysis, check to measure Lotus Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lotus Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Lotus Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lotus Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lotus Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lotus Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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