Linc (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 149.52

LINC Stock   166.50  0.55  0.33%   
Linc's future price is the expected price of Linc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Linc Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Linc Backtesting, Linc Valuation, Linc Correlation, Linc Hype Analysis, Linc Volatility, Linc History as well as Linc Performance.
  
Please specify Linc's target price for which you would like Linc odds to be computed.

Linc Target Price Odds to finish below 149.52

The tendency of Linc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  149.52  or more in 90 days
 166.50 90 days 149.52 
about 45.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Linc to drop to  149.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 45.05 (This Linc Limited probability density function shows the probability of Linc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Linc Limited price to stay between  149.52  and its current price of 166.5 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 95.0 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Linc will likely underperform. In addition to that Linc Limited has an alpha of 9843.6625, implying that it can generate a 9843.66 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Linc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Linc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Linc Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.03140.5816,791
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
149.85125,140141,790
Details

Linc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Linc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Linc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Linc Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Linc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
9,844
β
Beta against Dow Jones95.00
σ
Overall volatility
123,071
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Linc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Linc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Linc Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Linc Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Linc Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Linc Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 11 Bonus Shares 12 Stock Split Friday, 20th December Record Date BUYSELL - Goodreturns

Linc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Linc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Linc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Linc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments153.9 M

Linc Technical Analysis

Linc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Linc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Linc Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Linc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Linc Predictive Forecast Models

Linc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Linc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Linc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Linc Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Linc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Linc Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Linc Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Linc Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Linc Limited is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: 11 Bonus Shares 12 Stock Split Friday, 20th December Record Date BUYSELL - Goodreturns

Additional Tools for Linc Stock Analysis

When running Linc's price analysis, check to measure Linc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Linc is operating at the current time. Most of Linc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Linc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Linc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Linc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.