Liberty Latin America Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6.38
| LILAK Stock | USD 6.38 0.02 0.31% |
Liberty |
Liberty Latin Target Price Odds to finish below 6.38
The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 6.38 | 90 days | 6.38 | about 11.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Latin to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 11.8 (This Liberty Latin America probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Liberty Latin America has a beta of -0.13. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liberty Latin are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liberty Latin America is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liberty Latin America has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Liberty Latin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Liberty Latin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Latin America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Liberty Latin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Latin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Latin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Latin America, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Latin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.52 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Liberty Latin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Liberty Latin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Liberty Latin America can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Liberty Latin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Liberty Latin has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.51 B. Net Loss for the year was (86.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.6 B. | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Liberty Latin America Hits New 12-Month Low - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat |
Liberty Latin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Liberty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Liberty Latin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Latin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 988.6 M |
Liberty Latin Technical Analysis
Liberty Latin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Latin America. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Latin Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Latin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Latin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Latin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
| Naive Prediction | ||||
| Simple Exponential Smoothing | ||||
| Double Exponential Smoothing | ||||
| Triple Exponential Smoothing | ||||
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