Ladenburg Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 18.96

LGWAX Fund  USD 19.18  0.02  0.10%   
Ladenburg Growth's future price is the expected price of Ladenburg Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ladenburg Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ladenburg Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Ladenburg Growth Correlation, Ladenburg Growth Hype Analysis, Ladenburg Growth Volatility, Ladenburg Growth History as well as Ladenburg Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Ladenburg Growth's target price for which you would like Ladenburg Growth odds to be computed.

Ladenburg Growth Target Price Odds to finish below 18.96

The tendency of Ladenburg Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 18.96  or more in 90 days
 19.18 90 days 18.96 
about 88.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ladenburg Growth to drop to $ 18.96  or more in 90 days from now is about 88.7 (This Ladenburg Growth probability density function shows the probability of Ladenburg Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ladenburg Growth price to stay between $ 18.96  and its current price of $19.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ladenburg Growth has a beta of 0.0507. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Ladenburg Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ladenburg Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ladenburg Growth has an alpha of 0.1142, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ladenburg Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ladenburg Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ladenburg Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.6019.1819.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.2619.7820.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.5719.1519.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0719.1519.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ladenburg Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ladenburg Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ladenburg Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ladenburg Growth.

Ladenburg Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ladenburg Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ladenburg Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ladenburg Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ladenburg Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Ladenburg Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ladenburg Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ladenburg Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 87.57% of its assets in stocks

Ladenburg Growth Technical Analysis

Ladenburg Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ladenburg Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ladenburg Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ladenburg Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ladenburg Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Ladenburg Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ladenburg Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ladenburg Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ladenburg Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ladenburg Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ladenburg Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 87.57% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Ladenburg Mutual Fund

Ladenburg Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ladenburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ladenburg with respect to the benefits of owning Ladenburg Growth security.
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