LG Electronics (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.53
LGLG Stock | EUR 13.80 0.30 2.13% |
LGLG |
LG Electronics Target Price Odds to finish below 14.53
The tendency of LGLG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 14.53 after 90 days |
13.80 | 90 days | 14.53 | about 23.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LG Electronics to stay under 14.53 after 90 days from now is about 23.24 (This LG Electronics probability density function shows the probability of LGLG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LG Electronics price to stay between its current price of 13.80 and 14.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LG Electronics has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LG Electronics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LG Electronics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LG Electronics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LG Electronics Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for LG Electronics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LG Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LG Electronics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LG Electronics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LG Electronics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LG Electronics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LG Electronics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
LG Electronics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LG Electronics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LG Electronics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.LG Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
LG Electronics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LGLG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LG Electronics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LG Electronics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.1 M |
LG Electronics Technical Analysis
LG Electronics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LGLG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LG Electronics. In general, you should focus on analyzing LGLG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LG Electronics Predictive Forecast Models
LG Electronics' time-series forecasting models is one of many LG Electronics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LG Electronics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LG Electronics
Checking the ongoing alerts about LG Electronics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LG Electronics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LG Electronics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in LGLG Stock
LG Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether LGLG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LGLG with respect to the benefits of owning LG Electronics security.