LG Electronics Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

LGLG Stock  EUR 13.80  0.30  2.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LG Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 13.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.10. LGLG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of LG Electronics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
LG Electronics simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for LG Electronics are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as LG Electronics prices get older.

LG Electronics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LG Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 13.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LGLG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LG Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

LG Electronics Stock Forecast Pattern

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LG Electronics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting LG Electronics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LG Electronics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.61 and 15.99, respectively. We have considered LG Electronics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.80
13.80
Expected Value
15.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LG Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LG Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8059
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.059
MADMean absolute deviation0.2183
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0148
SAESum of the absolute errors13.0977
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting LG Electronics forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent LG Electronics observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for LG Electronics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LG Electronics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.6313.8015.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.0614.2316.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LG Electronics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LG Electronics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LG Electronics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in LG Electronics.

Other Forecasting Options for LG Electronics

For every potential investor in LGLG, whether a beginner or expert, LG Electronics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LGLG Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LGLG. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LG Electronics' price trends.

LG Electronics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LG Electronics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LG Electronics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LG Electronics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

LG Electronics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of LG Electronics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of LG Electronics' current price.

LG Electronics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LG Electronics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LG Electronics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LG Electronics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LG Electronics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

LG Electronics Risk Indicators

The analysis of LG Electronics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LG Electronics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lglg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in LGLG Stock

LG Electronics financial ratios help investors to determine whether LGLG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LGLG with respect to the benefits of owning LG Electronics security.