Lifestance Health Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.64
| LFST Stock | USD 7.44 0.15 2.06% |
Lifestance |
Lifestance Health Target Price Odds to finish below 5.64
The tendency of Lifestance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.64 or more in 90 days |
| 7.44 | 90 days | 5.64 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifestance Health to drop to $ 5.64 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lifestance Health Group probability density function shows the probability of Lifestance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifestance Health price to stay between $ 5.64 and its current price of $7.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lifestance Health has a beta of 0.27. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lifestance Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lifestance Health Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lifestance Health Group has an alpha of 0.111, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lifestance Health Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Lifestance Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifestance Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifestance Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifestance Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifestance Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifestance Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifestance Health Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifestance Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Lifestance Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifestance Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifestance Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (186.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.02 M. | |
| Lifestance Health Group currently holds about 96.69 M in cash with (16.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26. | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should You Think About Buying LifeStance Health Group, Inc. Now |
Lifestance Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lifestance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lifestance Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifestance Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 367.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.8 M |
Lifestance Health Technical Analysis
Lifestance Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifestance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifestance Health Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifestance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lifestance Health Predictive Forecast Models
Lifestance Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifestance Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lifestance Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lifestance Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifestance Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifestance Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (186.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 237.02 M. | |
| Lifestance Health Group currently holds about 96.69 M in cash with (16.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.26. | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Should You Think About Buying LifeStance Health Group, Inc. Now |
Additional Tools for Lifestance Stock Analysis
When running Lifestance Health's price analysis, check to measure Lifestance Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifestance Health is operating at the current time. Most of Lifestance Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifestance Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifestance Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifestance Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.