Lifex Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 19.24

LFEMX Fund   18.89  0.08  0.42%   
Lifex Income's future price is the expected price of Lifex Income instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lifex Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lifex Income Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lifex Income Correlation, Lifex Income Hype Analysis, Lifex Income Volatility, Lifex Income History as well as Lifex Income Performance.
  
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Lifex Income Target Price Odds to finish over 19.24

The tendency of Lifex Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.24  or more in 90 days
 18.89 90 days 19.24 
about 49.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifex Income to move over  19.24  or more in 90 days from now is about 49.22 (This Lifex Income probability density function shows the probability of Lifex Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifex Income price to stay between its current price of  18.89  and  19.24  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lifex Income has a beta of -0.0908. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lifex Income are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lifex Income is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lifex Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lifex Income Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lifex Income

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifex Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.2518.9719.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.3219.0419.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0918.8119.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.4118.9019.39
Details

Lifex Income Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifex Income is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifex Income's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifex Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifex Income within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.27

Lifex Income Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifex Income for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifex Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifex Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Lifex Income Technical Analysis

Lifex Income's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifex Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifex Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifex Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lifex Income Predictive Forecast Models

Lifex Income's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifex Income's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lifex Income's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lifex Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifex Income for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifex Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifex Income generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Lifex Mutual Fund

Lifex Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lifex Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lifex with respect to the benefits of owning Lifex Income security.
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