Lewis Group (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4221.0
| LEW Stock | 7,935 64.00 0.80% |
Lewis |
Lewis Group Target Price Odds to finish below 4221.0
The tendency of Lewis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4,221 or more in 90 days |
| 7,935 | 90 days | 4,221 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lewis Group to drop to 4,221 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lewis Group Limited probability density function shows the probability of Lewis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lewis Group Limited price to stay between 4,221 and its current price of 7935.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lewis Group Limited has a beta of -0.53. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lewis Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lewis Group Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lewis Group Limited has an alpha of 0.3775, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Lewis Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lewis Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lewis Group Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lewis Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lewis Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lewis Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lewis Group Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lewis Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 548.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Lewis Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lewis Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lewis Group Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Lewis Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lewis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lewis Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lewis Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 464.8 M |
Lewis Group Technical Analysis
Lewis Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lewis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lewis Group Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lewis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lewis Group Predictive Forecast Models
Lewis Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lewis Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lewis Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lewis Group Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lewis Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lewis Group Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Lewis Stock
Lewis Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lewis Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lewis with respect to the benefits of owning Lewis Group security.