Leland Thomson Reuters Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.27
| LDVCX Fund | USD 23.49 0.44 1.84% |
Leland |
Leland Thomson Target Price Odds to finish below 11.27
The tendency of Leland Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.27 or more in 90 days |
| 23.49 | 90 days | 11.27 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Leland Thomson to drop to $ 11.27 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Leland Thomson Reuters probability density function shows the probability of Leland Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Leland Thomson Reuters price to stay between $ 11.27 and its current price of $23.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.27 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Leland Thomson has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Leland Thomson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Leland Thomson Reuters will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Leland Thomson Reuters has an alpha of 0.1493, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Leland Thomson Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Leland Thomson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leland Thomson Reuters. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leland Thomson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leland Thomson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Leland Thomson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Leland Thomson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Leland Thomson Reuters, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Leland Thomson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Leland Thomson Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Leland Thomson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Leland Thomson Reuters can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -6.0% | |
| Leland Thomson Reuters maintains 99.21% of its assets in stocks |
Leland Thomson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Leland Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Leland Thomson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leland Thomson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Leland Thomson Technical Analysis
Leland Thomson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Leland Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Leland Thomson Reuters. In general, you should focus on analyzing Leland Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Leland Thomson Predictive Forecast Models
Leland Thomson's time-series forecasting models is one of many Leland Thomson's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Leland Thomson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Leland Thomson Reuters
Checking the ongoing alerts about Leland Thomson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Leland Thomson Reuters help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -6.0% | |
| Leland Thomson Reuters maintains 99.21% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Leland Mutual Fund
Leland Thomson financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leland Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leland with respect to the benefits of owning Leland Thomson security.
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