Liberty Broadband (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.84
| LBRD34 Stock | 39.84 0.44 1.12% |
Liberty |
Liberty Broadband Target Price Odds to finish over 39.84
The tendency of Liberty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 39.84 | 90 days | 39.84 | about 64.46 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Liberty Broadband to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.46 (This Liberty Broadband probability density function shows the probability of Liberty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Liberty Broadband has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Liberty Broadband are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Liberty Broadband is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Liberty Broadband has an alpha of 0.2205, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Liberty Broadband Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Liberty Broadband
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Liberty Broadband. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Liberty Broadband. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Liberty Broadband's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Liberty Broadband's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Liberty Broadband.Liberty Broadband Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Liberty Broadband is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Liberty Broadband's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Liberty Broadband, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Liberty Broadband within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Liberty Broadband Technical Analysis
Liberty Broadband's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Liberty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Liberty Broadband. In general, you should focus on analyzing Liberty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Liberty Broadband Predictive Forecast Models
Liberty Broadband's time-series forecasting models is one of many Liberty Broadband's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Liberty Broadband's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Liberty Broadband in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Liberty Broadband's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Liberty Broadband options trading.