Genomma Lab (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.52

LABB Stock  MXN 25.78  0.27  1.06%   
Genomma Lab's future price is the expected price of Genomma Lab instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Genomma Lab Internacional performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Genomma Lab Backtesting, Genomma Lab Valuation, Genomma Lab Correlation, Genomma Lab Hype Analysis, Genomma Lab Volatility, Genomma Lab History as well as Genomma Lab Performance.
  
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Genomma Lab Target Price Odds to finish below 11.52

The tendency of Genomma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  11.52  or more in 90 days
 25.78 90 days 11.52 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Genomma Lab to drop to  11.52  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Genomma Lab Internacional probability density function shows the probability of Genomma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Genomma Lab Internacional price to stay between  11.52  and its current price of 25.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.11 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Genomma Lab has a beta of 0.31. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Genomma Lab average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Genomma Lab Internacional will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Genomma Lab Internacional has an alpha of 0.3171, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Genomma Lab Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Genomma Lab

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genomma Lab Internacional. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7925.7827.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.2029.5631.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.4925.4927.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.3126.3927.47
Details

Genomma Lab Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Genomma Lab is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Genomma Lab's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Genomma Lab Internacional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Genomma Lab within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Genomma Lab Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Genomma Lab for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Genomma Lab Internacional can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Genomma Lab Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Genomma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Genomma Lab's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genomma Lab's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Genomma Lab Technical Analysis

Genomma Lab's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Genomma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Genomma Lab Internacional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Genomma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Genomma Lab Predictive Forecast Models

Genomma Lab's time-series forecasting models is one of many Genomma Lab's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Genomma Lab's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Genomma Lab Internacional

Checking the ongoing alerts about Genomma Lab for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Genomma Lab Internacional help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Genomma Stock Analysis

When running Genomma Lab's price analysis, check to measure Genomma Lab's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genomma Lab is operating at the current time. Most of Genomma Lab's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genomma Lab's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genomma Lab's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genomma Lab to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.