Villa Kunalai (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.28

KUN Stock  THB 1.24  0.01  0.80%   
Villa Kunalai's future price is the expected price of Villa Kunalai instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Villa Kunalai Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Villa Kunalai Backtesting, Villa Kunalai Valuation, Villa Kunalai Correlation, Villa Kunalai Hype Analysis, Villa Kunalai Volatility, Villa Kunalai History as well as Villa Kunalai Performance.
  
Please specify Villa Kunalai's target price for which you would like Villa Kunalai odds to be computed.

Villa Kunalai Target Price Odds to finish over 1.28

The tendency of Villa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  1.28  or more in 90 days
 1.24 90 days 1.28 
about 80.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Villa Kunalai to move over  1.28  or more in 90 days from now is about 80.19 (This Villa Kunalai Public probability density function shows the probability of Villa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Villa Kunalai Public price to stay between its current price of  1.24  and  1.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Villa Kunalai has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Villa Kunalai average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Villa Kunalai Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Villa Kunalai Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Villa Kunalai Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Villa Kunalai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Villa Kunalai Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.441.242.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.491.292.09
Details

Villa Kunalai Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Villa Kunalai is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Villa Kunalai's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Villa Kunalai Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Villa Kunalai within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Villa Kunalai Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Villa Kunalai for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Villa Kunalai Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Villa Kunalai Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Villa Kunalai Public may become a speculative penny stock
Villa Kunalai Public has accumulated about 72.27 M in cash with (484.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Villa Kunalai Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Villa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Villa Kunalai's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Villa Kunalai's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding686.4 M

Villa Kunalai Technical Analysis

Villa Kunalai's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Villa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Villa Kunalai Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Villa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Villa Kunalai Predictive Forecast Models

Villa Kunalai's time-series forecasting models is one of many Villa Kunalai's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Villa Kunalai's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Villa Kunalai Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Villa Kunalai for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Villa Kunalai Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Villa Kunalai Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Villa Kunalai Public may become a speculative penny stock
Villa Kunalai Public has accumulated about 72.27 M in cash with (484.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Villa Stock

Villa Kunalai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Villa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Villa with respect to the benefits of owning Villa Kunalai security.