Kardex Holding Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 325.57

KRDXF Stock  USD 318.35  0.00  0.00%   
Kardex Holding's future price is the expected price of Kardex Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kardex Holding AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kardex Holding Backtesting, Kardex Holding Valuation, Kardex Holding Correlation, Kardex Holding Hype Analysis, Kardex Holding Volatility, Kardex Holding History as well as Kardex Holding Performance.
  
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Kardex Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 325.57

The tendency of Kardex Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 325.57  or more in 90 days
 318.35 90 days 325.57 
about 37.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kardex Holding to move over $ 325.57  or more in 90 days from now is about 37.26 (This Kardex Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Kardex Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kardex Holding AG price to stay between its current price of $ 318.35  and $ 325.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kardex Holding AG has a beta of -0.44. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kardex Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kardex Holding AG is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kardex Holding AG has an alpha of 0.0259, implying that it can generate a 0.0259 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kardex Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kardex Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kardex Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kardex Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
315.79318.35320.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
265.50268.06350.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
324.06326.62329.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
318.35318.35318.35
Details

Kardex Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kardex Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kardex Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kardex Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kardex Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
11.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Kardex Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kardex Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kardex Holding AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kardex Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kardex Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kardex Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kardex Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 M

Kardex Holding Technical Analysis

Kardex Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kardex Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kardex Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kardex Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kardex Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Kardex Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kardex Holding's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kardex Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kardex Holding AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kardex Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kardex Holding AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 23.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Kardex Pink Sheet

Kardex Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kardex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kardex with respect to the benefits of owning Kardex Holding security.