Kardex Holding Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

KRDXF Stock  USD 318.35  0.00  0.00%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kardex Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 320.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 314.35. Kardex Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kardex Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Kardex Holding AG is based on a synthetically constructed Kardex Holdingdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Kardex Holding 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kardex Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 320.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.67, mean absolute percentage error of 109.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 314.35.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kardex Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kardex Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kardex Holding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Kardex Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kardex Holding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kardex Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 317.61 and 322.70, respectively. We have considered Kardex Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
318.35
317.61
Downside
320.15
Expected Value
322.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kardex Holding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kardex Holding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria86.0467
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.7197
MADMean absolute deviation7.6672
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0234
SAESum of the absolute errors314.354
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Kardex Holding AG 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Kardex Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kardex Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kardex Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
315.79318.35320.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
265.50268.06350.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
318.35318.35318.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kardex Holding

For every potential investor in Kardex, whether a beginner or expert, Kardex Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kardex Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kardex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kardex Holding's price trends.

Kardex Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kardex Holding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kardex Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kardex Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kardex Holding AG Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kardex Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kardex Holding's current price.

Kardex Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kardex Holding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kardex Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kardex Holding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kardex Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kardex Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kardex Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kardex Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kardex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Kardex Pink Sheet

Kardex Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kardex Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kardex with respect to the benefits of owning Kardex Holding security.