Kemper Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 70.6

KMPR Stock  USD 65.06  0.87  1.36%   
Kemper's future price is the expected price of Kemper instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kemper performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kemper Backtesting, Kemper Valuation, Kemper Correlation, Kemper Hype Analysis, Kemper Volatility, Kemper History as well as Kemper Performance.
To learn how to invest in Kemper Stock, please use our How to Invest in Kemper guide.
  
At this time, Kemper's Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/22/2024, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 1.21, while Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.93. Please specify Kemper's target price for which you would like Kemper odds to be computed.

Kemper Target Price Odds to finish below 70.6

The tendency of Kemper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 70.60  after 90 days
 65.06 90 days 70.60 
about 89.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kemper to stay under $ 70.60  after 90 days from now is about 89.97 (This Kemper probability density function shows the probability of Kemper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kemper price to stay between its current price of $ 65.06  and $ 70.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.29 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Kemper will likely underperform. Additionally Kemper has an alpha of 0.0935, implying that it can generate a 0.0935 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kemper Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kemper

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kemper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.6165.1666.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.7466.2967.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
62.3763.9265.48
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
60.0666.0073.26
Details

Kemper Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kemper is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kemper's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kemper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kemper within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.29
σ
Overall volatility
4.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Kemper Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kemper for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kemper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kemper currently holds 1.39 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kemper has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kemper's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (272.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B.
Kemper currently holds about 578.8 M in cash with (134.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.06.
Kemper has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of Kemper shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: La Fundacin Kemper ampla su programa de becas Read Conmigo para apoyar iniciativas de educacin bilinge en las escuelas

Kemper Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kemper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kemper's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kemper's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64 M
Cash And Short Term Investments587 M

Kemper Technical Analysis

Kemper's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kemper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kemper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kemper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kemper Predictive Forecast Models

Kemper's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kemper's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kemper's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kemper

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kemper for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kemper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kemper currently holds 1.39 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.51, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Kemper has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Kemper's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 4.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (272.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B.
Kemper currently holds about 578.8 M in cash with (134.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.06.
Kemper has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of Kemper shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: La Fundacin Kemper ampla su programa de becas Read Conmigo para apoyar iniciativas de educacin bilinge en las escuelas

Additional Tools for Kemper Stock Analysis

When running Kemper's price analysis, check to measure Kemper's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kemper is operating at the current time. Most of Kemper's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kemper's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kemper's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kemper to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.