Kawasaki Kisen (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.03
KLI1 Stock | EUR 13.12 0.00 0.00% |
Kawasaki |
Kawasaki Kisen Target Price Odds to finish over 7.03
The tendency of Kawasaki Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 7.03 in 90 days |
13.12 | 90 days | 7.03 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kawasaki Kisen to stay above 7.03 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha probability density function shows the probability of Kawasaki Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha price to stay between 7.03 and its current price of 13.12 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha has a beta of -0.28. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kawasaki Kisen are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kawasaki Kisen Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Kawasaki Kisen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kawasaki Kisen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kawasaki Kisen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kawasaki Kisen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kawasaki Kisen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Kawasaki Kisen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kawasaki Kisen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Kawasaki Kisen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Kawasaki Kisen has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Kawasaki Kisen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kawasaki Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kawasaki Kisen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kawasaki Kisen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.3 M |
Kawasaki Kisen Technical Analysis
Kawasaki Kisen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kawasaki Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kawasaki Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kawasaki Kisen Predictive Forecast Models
Kawasaki Kisen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kawasaki Kisen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kawasaki Kisen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kawasaki Kisen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kawasaki Kisen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Kawasaki Kisen has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Kawasaki Stock
Kawasaki Kisen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kawasaki Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kawasaki with respect to the benefits of owning Kawasaki Kisen security.