KILIMA VOLKANO (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 52.95
| KIVO11 Fund | 57.14 0.04 0.07% |
KILIMA |
KILIMA VOLKANO Target Price Odds to finish below 52.95
The tendency of KILIMA Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 52.95 or more in 90 days |
| 57.14 | 90 days | 52.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KILIMA VOLKANO to drop to 52.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS probability density function shows the probability of KILIMA Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS price to stay between 52.95 and its current price of 57.14 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS has a beta of -0.25. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KILIMA VOLKANO are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KILIMA VOLKANO Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KILIMA VOLKANO
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KILIMA VOLKANO Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KILIMA VOLKANO is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KILIMA VOLKANO's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KILIMA VOLKANO within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
KILIMA VOLKANO Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KILIMA VOLKANO for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KILIMA VOLKANO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
KILIMA VOLKANO Technical Analysis
KILIMA VOLKANO's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KILIMA Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS. In general, you should focus on analyzing KILIMA Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KILIMA VOLKANO Predictive Forecast Models
KILIMA VOLKANO's time-series forecasting models is one of many KILIMA VOLKANO's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KILIMA VOLKANO's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS
Checking the ongoing alerts about KILIMA VOLKANO for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KILIMA VOLKANO RECEBVEIS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KILIMA VOLKANO generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing |