KIOCL (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 374.92
| KIOCL Stock | 361.20 9.25 2.50% |
KIOCL |
KIOCL Target Price Odds to finish below 374.92
The tendency of KIOCL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 374.92 after 90 days |
| 361.20 | 90 days | 374.92 | about 65.05 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KIOCL to stay under 374.92 after 90 days from now is about 65.05 (This KIOCL Limited probability density function shows the probability of KIOCL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KIOCL Limited price to stay between its current price of 361.20 and 374.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KIOCL has a beta of 0.64. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KIOCL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KIOCL Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KIOCL Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KIOCL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KIOCL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KIOCL Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KIOCL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KIOCL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KIOCL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KIOCL Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KIOCL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
KIOCL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KIOCL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KIOCL Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KIOCL Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KIOCL Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 18.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (636.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 533.12 M. | |
| About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is KIOCL Using Too Much Debt - Simply Wall St |
KIOCL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KIOCL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KIOCL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KIOCL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 607.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.6 B |
KIOCL Technical Analysis
KIOCL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KIOCL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KIOCL Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing KIOCL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KIOCL Predictive Forecast Models
KIOCL's time-series forecasting models is one of many KIOCL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KIOCL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KIOCL Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about KIOCL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KIOCL Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KIOCL Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KIOCL Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 18.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (636.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 533.12 M. | |
| About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Is KIOCL Using Too Much Debt - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in KIOCL Stock
KIOCL financial ratios help investors to determine whether KIOCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KIOCL with respect to the benefits of owning KIOCL security.