KIOCL (India) Market Value

KIOCL Stock   372.35  4.60  1.25%   
KIOCL's market value is the price at which a share of KIOCL trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KIOCL Limited investors about its performance. KIOCL is selling at 372.35 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 1.25 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 367.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KIOCL Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in KIOCL over a given investment horizon. Check out KIOCL Correlation, KIOCL Volatility and KIOCL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on KIOCL.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between KIOCL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KIOCL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KIOCL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

KIOCL 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to KIOCL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of KIOCL.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in KIOCL on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KIOCL Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in KIOCL over 720 days. KIOCL is related to or competes with Akme Fintrade, Palred Technologies, Osia Hyper, V2 Retail, Arrow Greentech, and Praxis Home. KIOCL is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

KIOCL Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure KIOCL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KIOCL Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

KIOCL Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for KIOCL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as KIOCL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use KIOCL historical prices to predict the future KIOCL's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
368.04371.56375.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
326.97330.49409.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
347.41350.94354.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
340.01359.76379.52
Details

KIOCL Limited Backtested Returns

KIOCL Limited has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0272, which conveys that the firm had a -0.0272% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. KIOCL exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify KIOCL's risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Mean Deviation of 2.36 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.51, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, KIOCL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding KIOCL is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, KIOCL Limited has a negative expected return of -0.0959%. Please make sure to verify KIOCL's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if KIOCL Limited performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.62  

Very good reverse predictability

KIOCL Limited has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between KIOCL time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KIOCL Limited price movement. The serial correlation of -0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current KIOCL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1932.8

KIOCL Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is KIOCL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting KIOCL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of KIOCL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that KIOCL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

KIOCL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If KIOCL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if KIOCL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in KIOCL stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

KIOCL Lagged Returns

When evaluating KIOCL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of KIOCL stock have on its future price. KIOCL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, KIOCL autocorrelation shows the relationship between KIOCL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KIOCL Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in KIOCL Stock

KIOCL financial ratios help investors to determine whether KIOCL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KIOCL with respect to the benefits of owning KIOCL security.