Kinea Creditas (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 7.6
| KCRE11 Fund | 8.90 0.12 1.37% |
Kinea |
Kinea Creditas Target Price Odds to finish over 7.6
The tendency of Kinea Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 7.60 in 90 days |
| 8.90 | 90 days | 7.60 | about 88.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinea Creditas to stay above 7.60 in 90 days from now is about 88.87 (This Kinea Creditas Fundo probability density function shows the probability of Kinea Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinea Creditas Fundo price to stay between 7.60 and its current price of 8.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinea Creditas has a beta of 0.0359. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kinea Creditas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kinea Creditas Fundo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kinea Creditas Fundo has an alpha of 0.2433, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kinea Creditas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinea Creditas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinea Creditas Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kinea Creditas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinea Creditas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinea Creditas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinea Creditas Fundo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinea Creditas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Kinea Creditas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinea Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinea Creditas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinea Creditas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0459 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 6.12 |
Kinea Creditas Technical Analysis
Kinea Creditas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinea Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinea Creditas Fundo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinea Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinea Creditas Predictive Forecast Models
Kinea Creditas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinea Creditas' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinea Creditas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kinea Creditas in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kinea Creditas' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kinea Creditas options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Kinea Fund
Kinea Creditas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinea with respect to the benefits of owning Kinea Creditas security.
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