Jasuindo Tiga (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 228.90
| JTPE Stock | IDR 230.00 6.00 2.54% |
Jasuindo |
Jasuindo Tiga Target Price Odds to finish below 228.90
The tendency of Jasuindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 228.90 or more in 90 days |
| 230.00 | 90 days | 228.90 | about 14.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jasuindo Tiga to drop to 228.90 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.97 (This Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa probability density function shows the probability of Jasuindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa price to stay between 228.90 and its current price of 230.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jasuindo Tiga has a beta of 0.34. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jasuindo Tiga average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Jasuindo Tiga Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Jasuindo Tiga
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jasuindo Tiga Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jasuindo Tiga is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jasuindo Tiga's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jasuindo Tiga within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 22.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Jasuindo Tiga Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jasuindo Tiga for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jasuindo Tiga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jasuindo Tiga Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jasuindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jasuindo Tiga's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jasuindo Tiga's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 176.6 B |
Jasuindo Tiga Technical Analysis
Jasuindo Tiga's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jasuindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jasuindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jasuindo Tiga Predictive Forecast Models
Jasuindo Tiga's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jasuindo Tiga's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jasuindo Tiga's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jasuindo Tiga for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jasuindo Tiga Perkasa help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jasuindo Tiga generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 73.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jasuindo Stock
Jasuindo Tiga financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jasuindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jasuindo with respect to the benefits of owning Jasuindo Tiga security.