Jakarta Setiabudi (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7888.19
| JSPT Stock | IDR 10,800 1,800 20.00% |
Jakarta |
Jakarta Setiabudi Target Price Odds to finish below 7888.19
The tendency of Jakarta Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7,888 or more in 90 days |
| 10,800 | 90 days | 7,888 | about 89.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jakarta Setiabudi to drop to 7,888 or more in 90 days from now is about 89.74 (This Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional probability density function shows the probability of Jakarta Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jakarta Setiabudi price to stay between 7,888 and its current price of 10800.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jakarta Setiabudi will likely underperform. In addition to that Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional has an alpha of 3.0191, implying that it can generate a 3.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jakarta Setiabudi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jakarta Setiabudi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jakarta Setiabudi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jakarta Setiabudi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jakarta Setiabudi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jakarta Setiabudi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jakarta Setiabudi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 3.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2,579 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.28 |
Jakarta Setiabudi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jakarta Setiabudi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jakarta Setiabudi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jakarta Setiabudi is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jakarta Setiabudi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 552.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (210.41 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 274.11 B. | |
| Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional has accumulated about 559.4 B in cash with (38.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 241.25. | |
| Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jakarta Setiabudi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jakarta Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jakarta Setiabudi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jakarta Setiabudi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 643.5 B |
Jakarta Setiabudi Technical Analysis
Jakarta Setiabudi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jakarta Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jakarta Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jakarta Setiabudi Predictive Forecast Models
Jakarta Setiabudi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jakarta Setiabudi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jakarta Setiabudi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jakarta Setiabudi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jakarta Setiabudi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jakarta Setiabudi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jakarta Setiabudi is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jakarta Setiabudi appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 552.78 B. Net Loss for the year was (210.41 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 274.11 B. | |
| Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional has accumulated about 559.4 B in cash with (38.21 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 241.25. | |
| Roughly 82.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Jakarta Stock
Jakarta Setiabudi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jakarta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jakarta with respect to the benefits of owning Jakarta Setiabudi security.