Jakarta Setiabudi Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

JSPT Stock  IDR 9,450  450.00  5.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional on the next trading day is expected to be 10,886 with a mean absolute deviation of 708.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43,216. Jakarta Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Jakarta Setiabudi polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Jakarta Setiabudi Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional on the next trading day is expected to be 10,886 with a mean absolute deviation of 708.46, mean absolute percentage error of 861,808, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43,216.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jakarta Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jakarta Setiabudi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jakarta Setiabudi Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jakarta Setiabudi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jakarta Setiabudi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jakarta Setiabudi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10,875 and 10,897, respectively. We have considered Jakarta Setiabudi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9,450
10,875
Downside
10,886
Expected Value
10,897
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jakarta Setiabudi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jakarta Setiabudi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria131.7773
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation708.4638
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1864
SAESum of the absolute errors43216.2932
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Jakarta Setiabudi historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Jakarta Setiabudi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jakarta Setiabudi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,4399,4509,461
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7,6487,65910,395
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
6,0078,05010,092
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jakarta Setiabudi

For every potential investor in Jakarta, whether a beginner or expert, Jakarta Setiabudi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jakarta Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jakarta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jakarta Setiabudi's price trends.

Jakarta Setiabudi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jakarta Setiabudi stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jakarta Setiabudi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jakarta Setiabudi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jakarta Setiabudi Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jakarta Setiabudi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jakarta Setiabudi's current price.

Jakarta Setiabudi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jakarta Setiabudi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jakarta Setiabudi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jakarta Setiabudi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jakarta Setiabudi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jakarta Setiabudi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jakarta Setiabudi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jakarta stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jakarta Stock

Jakarta Setiabudi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jakarta Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jakarta with respect to the benefits of owning Jakarta Setiabudi security.