Jervois Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.63
| JRV Stock | CAD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Jervois |
Jervois Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 18.63
The tendency of Jervois Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 18.63 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 18.63 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jervois Mining to move over C$ 18.63 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Jervois Mining probability density function shows the probability of Jervois Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jervois Mining price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.01 and C$ 18.63 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.51 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jervois Mining will likely underperform. Moreover Jervois Mining has an alpha of 1.2176, implying that it can generate a 1.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Jervois Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Jervois Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jervois Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jervois Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jervois Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jervois Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jervois Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jervois Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Jervois Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jervois Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jervois Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Jervois Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jervois Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jervois Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jervois Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 195.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (252.49 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (17.78 M). | |
| Jervois Mining generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Jervois Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jervois Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jervois Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jervois Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B |
Jervois Mining Technical Analysis
Jervois Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jervois Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jervois Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jervois Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Jervois Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Jervois Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jervois Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jervois Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Jervois Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Jervois Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jervois Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Jervois Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Jervois Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Jervois Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Jervois Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 195.23 M. Net Loss for the year was (252.49 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (17.78 M). | |
| Jervois Mining generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Jervois Stock Analysis
When running Jervois Mining's price analysis, check to measure Jervois Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jervois Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Jervois Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jervois Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jervois Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jervois Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.