JPP CAPITAL (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 163.27
| JPPC11 Fund | BRL 200.00 0.00 0.00% |
JPP |
JPP CAPITAL Target Price Odds to finish below 163.27
The tendency of JPP Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 163.27 or more in 90 days |
| 200.00 | 90 days | 163.27 | about 79.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPP CAPITAL to drop to R$ 163.27 or more in 90 days from now is about 79.29 (This JPP CAPITAL FDO probability density function shows the probability of JPP Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPP CAPITAL FDO price to stay between R$ 163.27 and its current price of R$200.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPP CAPITAL has a beta of 0.47. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPP CAPITAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPP CAPITAL FDO will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover JPP CAPITAL FDO has an alpha of 1.8013, implying that it can generate a 1.8 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). JPP CAPITAL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPP CAPITAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPP CAPITAL FDO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPP CAPITAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPP CAPITAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPP CAPITAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPP CAPITAL FDO, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPP CAPITAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 40.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
JPP CAPITAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPP CAPITAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPP CAPITAL FDO can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| JPP CAPITAL FDO is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| JPP CAPITAL FDO appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
JPP CAPITAL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPP Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPP CAPITAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPP CAPITAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
JPP CAPITAL Technical Analysis
JPP CAPITAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPP Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPP CAPITAL FDO. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPP Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPP CAPITAL Predictive Forecast Models
JPP CAPITAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPP CAPITAL's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPP CAPITAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about JPP CAPITAL FDO
Checking the ongoing alerts about JPP CAPITAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPP CAPITAL FDO help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| JPP CAPITAL FDO is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| JPP CAPITAL FDO appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Other Information on Investing in JPP Fund
JPP CAPITAL financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPP Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPP with respect to the benefits of owning JPP CAPITAL security.
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