JPMorgan Chase (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,904

JPM Stock  MXN 4,943  57.19  1.14%   
JPMorgan Chase's future price is the expected price of JPMorgan Chase instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPMorgan Chase Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JPMorgan Chase Backtesting, JPMorgan Chase Valuation, JPMorgan Chase Correlation, JPMorgan Chase Hype Analysis, JPMorgan Chase Volatility, JPMorgan Chase History as well as JPMorgan Chase Performance.
  
Please specify JPMorgan Chase's target price for which you would like JPMorgan Chase odds to be computed.

JPMorgan Chase Target Price Odds to finish over 4,904

The tendency of JPMorgan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,943 90 days 4,943 
about 10.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPMorgan Chase to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.38 (This JPMorgan Chase Co probability density function shows the probability of JPMorgan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, JPMorgan Chase will likely underperform. Additionally JPMorgan Chase Co has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   JPMorgan Chase Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Chase

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Chase. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,9414,9434,945
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,1004,1035,437
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,8664,8684,870
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,9074,9935,079
Details

JPMorgan Chase Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPMorgan Chase is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPMorgan Chase's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPMorgan Chase Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPMorgan Chase within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.65
σ
Overall volatility
377.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

JPMorgan Chase Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPMorgan Chase for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPMorgan Chase can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

JPMorgan Chase Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of JPMorgan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential JPMorgan Chase's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPMorgan Chase's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B

JPMorgan Chase Technical Analysis

JPMorgan Chase's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPMorgan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPMorgan Chase Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPMorgan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPMorgan Chase Predictive Forecast Models

JPMorgan Chase's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPMorgan Chase's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPMorgan Chase's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JPMorgan Chase

Checking the ongoing alerts about JPMorgan Chase for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPMorgan Chase help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for JPMorgan Stock Analysis

When running JPMorgan Chase's price analysis, check to measure JPMorgan Chase's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMorgan Chase is operating at the current time. Most of JPMorgan Chase's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMorgan Chase's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMorgan Chase's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMorgan Chase to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.