JPM Emerging (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 37.8
| JPJS Fund | EUR 37.96 0.21 0.55% |
JPM |
JPM Emerging Target Price Odds to finish below 37.8
The tendency of JPM Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 37.80 or more in 90 days |
| 37.96 | 90 days | 37.80 | about 63.42 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPM Emerging to drop to € 37.80 or more in 90 days from now is about 63.42 (This JPM Emerging Markets probability density function shows the probability of JPM Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPM Emerging Markets price to stay between € 37.80 and its current price of €37.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPM Emerging has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPM Emerging average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPM Emerging Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPM Emerging Markets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. JPM Emerging Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for JPM Emerging
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPM Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPM Emerging Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPM Emerging is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPM Emerging's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPM Emerging Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPM Emerging within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
JPM Emerging Technical Analysis
JPM Emerging's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPM Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPM Emerging Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPM Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
JPM Emerging Predictive Forecast Models
JPM Emerging's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPM Emerging's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPM Emerging's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards JPM Emerging in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, JPM Emerging's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from JPM Emerging options trading.
Other Information on Investing in JPM Fund
JPM Emerging financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPM Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPM with respect to the benefits of owning JPM Emerging security.
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