JPM Europe (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 90.3

JPJJ Fund  EUR 89.82  0.02  0.02%   
JPM Europe's future price is the expected price of JPM Europe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of JPM Europe Small performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out JPM Europe Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, JPM Europe Correlation, JPM Europe Hype Analysis, JPM Europe Volatility, JPM Europe History as well as JPM Europe Performance.
  
Please specify JPM Europe's target price for which you would like JPM Europe odds to be computed.

JPM Europe Target Price Odds to finish over 90.3

The tendency of JPM Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 90.30  or more in 90 days
 89.82 90 days 90.30 
about 24.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of JPM Europe to move over € 90.30  or more in 90 days from now is about 24.77 (This JPM Europe Small probability density function shows the probability of JPM Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of JPM Europe Small price to stay between its current price of € 89.82  and € 90.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon JPM Europe has a beta of 0.0414. This indicates as returns on the market go up, JPM Europe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding JPM Europe Small will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally JPM Europe Small has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   JPM Europe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for JPM Europe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPM Europe Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.0989.8290.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.9389.6690.39
Details

JPM Europe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. JPM Europe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the JPM Europe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold JPM Europe Small, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of JPM Europe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
1.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

JPM Europe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of JPM Europe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for JPM Europe Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPM Europe Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

JPM Europe Technical Analysis

JPM Europe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. JPM Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of JPM Europe Small. In general, you should focus on analyzing JPM Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

JPM Europe Predictive Forecast Models

JPM Europe's time-series forecasting models is one of many JPM Europe's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary JPM Europe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about JPM Europe Small

Checking the ongoing alerts about JPM Europe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for JPM Europe Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
JPM Europe Small generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in JPM Fund

JPM Europe financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPM Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPM with respect to the benefits of owning JPM Europe security.
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