Jakpaisan Estate (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

JAK Stock  THB 1.30  0.15  13.04%   
Jakpaisan Estate's future price is the expected price of Jakpaisan Estate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jakpaisan Estate Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jakpaisan Estate Backtesting, Jakpaisan Estate Valuation, Jakpaisan Estate Correlation, Jakpaisan Estate Hype Analysis, Jakpaisan Estate Volatility, Jakpaisan Estate History as well as Jakpaisan Estate Performance.
  
Please specify Jakpaisan Estate's target price for which you would like Jakpaisan Estate odds to be computed.

Jakpaisan Estate Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Jakpaisan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days
 1.30 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jakpaisan Estate to drop to  0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jakpaisan Estate Public probability density function shows the probability of Jakpaisan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jakpaisan Estate Public price to stay between  0.01  and its current price of 1.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jakpaisan Estate has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jakpaisan Estate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jakpaisan Estate Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jakpaisan Estate Public has an alpha of 0.2473, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jakpaisan Estate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jakpaisan Estate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jakpaisan Estate Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.307.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.067.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.317.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.031.221.41
Details

Jakpaisan Estate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jakpaisan Estate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jakpaisan Estate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jakpaisan Estate Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jakpaisan Estate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.84
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Jakpaisan Estate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jakpaisan Estate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jakpaisan Estate Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jakpaisan Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Jakpaisan Estate may become a speculative penny stock
Jakpaisan Estate Public has accumulated about 47.32 M in cash with (33.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.
Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jakpaisan Estate Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jakpaisan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jakpaisan Estate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jakpaisan Estate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding320 M

Jakpaisan Estate Technical Analysis

Jakpaisan Estate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jakpaisan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jakpaisan Estate Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jakpaisan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jakpaisan Estate Predictive Forecast Models

Jakpaisan Estate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jakpaisan Estate's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jakpaisan Estate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jakpaisan Estate Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jakpaisan Estate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jakpaisan Estate Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jakpaisan Estate had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Jakpaisan Estate may become a speculative penny stock
Jakpaisan Estate Public has accumulated about 47.32 M in cash with (33.33 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.15.
Roughly 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Jakpaisan Stock

Jakpaisan Estate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jakpaisan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jakpaisan with respect to the benefits of owning Jakpaisan Estate security.