Invesco Nasdaq 100 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 43.19

IVNQX Fund  USD 44.82  0.34  0.76%   
Invesco Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Invesco Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Nasdaq 100 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Nasdaq Correlation, Invesco Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Invesco Nasdaq Volatility, Invesco Nasdaq History as well as Invesco Nasdaq Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Nasdaq's target price for which you would like Invesco Nasdaq odds to be computed.

Invesco Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish over 43.19

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 43.19  in 90 days
 44.82 90 days 43.19 
about 22.37
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Nasdaq to stay above $ 43.19  in 90 days from now is about 22.37 (This Invesco Nasdaq 100 probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Nasdaq 100 price to stay between $ 43.19  and its current price of $44.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.22 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Nasdaq has a beta of 0.8. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Invesco Nasdaq average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Nasdaq 100 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Nasdaq 100 has an alpha of 0.0931, implying that it can generate a 0.0931 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Nasdaq Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.8644.8245.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.3446.7447.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.2645.2346.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.5743.4145.25
Details

Invesco Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Nasdaq 100, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.80
σ
Overall volatility
1.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Invesco Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Nasdaq for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Nasdaq 100 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Invesco Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Invesco Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Nasdaq 100. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Nasdaq's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Nasdaq 100

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Nasdaq for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Nasdaq 100 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 97.49% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Nasdaq financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Nasdaq security.
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