Icon Longshort Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 27.41

ISTAX Fund  USD 25.66  0.13  0.50%   
Icon Longshort's future price is the expected price of Icon Longshort instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Icon Longshort Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Icon Longshort Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Icon Longshort Correlation, Icon Longshort Hype Analysis, Icon Longshort Volatility, Icon Longshort History as well as Icon Longshort Performance.
  
Please specify Icon Longshort's target price for which you would like Icon Longshort odds to be computed.

Icon Longshort Target Price Odds to finish over 27.41

The tendency of Icon Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 27.41  or more in 90 days
 25.66 90 days 27.41 
about 33.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Icon Longshort to move over $ 27.41  or more in 90 days from now is about 33.87 (This Icon Longshort Fund probability density function shows the probability of Icon Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Icon Longshort price to stay between its current price of $ 25.66  and $ 27.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.22 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Icon Longshort will likely underperform. Additionally Icon Longshort Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Icon Longshort Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Icon Longshort

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Icon Longshort. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.0325.6627.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5126.1427.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.6125.2426.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.0827.6330.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Icon Longshort. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Icon Longshort's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Icon Longshort's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Icon Longshort.

Icon Longshort Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Icon Longshort is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Icon Longshort's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Icon Longshort Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Icon Longshort within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Icon Longshort Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Icon Longshort for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Icon Longshort can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Does Tax-Exempt Mean - GOBankingRates
The fund retains about 16.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Icon Longshort Technical Analysis

Icon Longshort's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Icon Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Icon Longshort Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Icon Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Icon Longshort Predictive Forecast Models

Icon Longshort's time-series forecasting models is one of many Icon Longshort's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Icon Longshort's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Icon Longshort

Checking the ongoing alerts about Icon Longshort for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Icon Longshort help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: What Does Tax-Exempt Mean - GOBankingRates
The fund retains about 16.89% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Icon Mutual Fund

Icon Longshort financial ratios help investors to determine whether Icon Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Icon with respect to the benefits of owning Icon Longshort security.
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