Indian Railway (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 165.45
| IRFC Stock | 147.79 0.62 0.42% |
Indian |
Indian Railway Target Price Odds to finish over 165.45
The tendency of Indian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 165.45 or more in 90 days |
| 147.79 | 90 days | 165.45 | about 1.31 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indian Railway to move over 165.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.31 (This Indian Railway Finance probability density function shows the probability of Indian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indian Railway Finance price to stay between its current price of 147.79 and 165.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.01 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indian Railway has a beta of 0.58. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Indian Railway average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Indian Railway Finance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Indian Railway Finance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Indian Railway Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Indian Railway
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indian Railway Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Indian Railway Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indian Railway is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indian Railway's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indian Railway Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indian Railway within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Indian Railway Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indian Railway for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indian Railway Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Indian Railway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Indian Railway Finance Corporation Share Price Highlights Indian Railway Finance Corporation closed today at 148.3, down -2.98 percent from yesterdays 152.85 Stock Market News - Mint |
Indian Railway Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indian Railway's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indian Railway's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 B |
Indian Railway Technical Analysis
Indian Railway's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indian Railway Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Indian Railway Predictive Forecast Models
Indian Railway's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indian Railway's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indian Railway's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Indian Railway Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Indian Railway for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indian Railway Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Indian Railway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Indian Railway Finance Corporation Share Price Highlights Indian Railway Finance Corporation closed today at 148.3, down -2.98 percent from yesterdays 152.85 Stock Market News - Mint |
Additional Tools for Indian Stock Analysis
When running Indian Railway's price analysis, check to measure Indian Railway's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Indian Railway is operating at the current time. Most of Indian Railway's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Indian Railway's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Indian Railway's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Indian Railway to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.