Merrill Lynch Depositor Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.43
| IPB Stock | USD 26.30 0.15 0.57% |
Merrill |
Merrill Lynch Target Price Odds to finish below 25.43
The tendency of Merrill Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 25.43 or more in 90 days |
| 26.30 | 90 days | 25.43 | about 1.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Merrill Lynch to drop to $ 25.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.4 (This Merrill Lynch Depositor probability density function shows the probability of Merrill Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Merrill Lynch Depositor price to stay between $ 25.43 and its current price of $26.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.57 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Merrill Lynch Depositor has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Merrill Lynch are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Merrill Lynch Depositor is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Merrill Lynch Depositor has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Merrill Lynch Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Merrill Lynch
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merrill Lynch Depositor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Merrill Lynch Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Merrill Lynch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Merrill Lynch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Merrill Lynch Depositor, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Merrill Lynch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Merrill Lynch Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Merrill Lynch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merrill Lynch Depositor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Merrill Lynch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Merrill Lynch Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Merrill Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Merrill Lynch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Merrill Lynch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0596 |
Merrill Lynch Technical Analysis
Merrill Lynch's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Merrill Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Merrill Lynch Depositor. In general, you should focus on analyzing Merrill Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Merrill Lynch Predictive Forecast Models
Merrill Lynch's time-series forecasting models is one of many Merrill Lynch's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Merrill Lynch's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Merrill Lynch Depositor
Checking the ongoing alerts about Merrill Lynch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Merrill Lynch Depositor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Merrill Lynch generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Check out Merrill Lynch Backtesting, Merrill Lynch Valuation, Merrill Lynch Correlation, Merrill Lynch Hype Analysis, Merrill Lynch Volatility, Merrill Lynch History as well as Merrill Lynch Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Merrill Lynch. If investors know Merrill will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Merrill Lynch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Merrill Lynch Depositor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Merrill that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Merrill Lynch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Merrill Lynch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Merrill Lynch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Merrill Lynch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Merrill Lynch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Merrill Lynch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Merrill Lynch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.