GBS Software (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.74

INW Stock   2.74  0.02  0.72%   
GBS Software's future price is the expected price of GBS Software instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GBS Software AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GBS Software Backtesting, GBS Software Valuation, GBS Software Correlation, GBS Software Hype Analysis, GBS Software Volatility, GBS Software History as well as GBS Software Performance.
  
Please specify GBS Software's target price for which you would like GBS Software odds to be computed.

GBS Software Target Price Odds to finish over 2.74

The tendency of GBS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.74 90 days 2.74 
about 8.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GBS Software to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 8.08 (This GBS Software AG probability density function shows the probability of GBS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GBS Software has a beta of 0.97. This usually indicates GBS Software AG market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, GBS Software is expected to follow. Additionally GBS Software AG has an alpha of 0.055, implying that it can generate a 0.055 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GBS Software Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GBS Software

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GBS Software AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.745.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.155.06
Details

GBS Software Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GBS Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GBS Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GBS Software AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GBS Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.97
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

GBS Software Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GBS Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GBS Software AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GBS Software AG has accumulated 2.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. GBS Software AG has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GBS Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GBS Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GBS Software AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GBS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GBS Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

GBS Software Technical Analysis

GBS Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GBS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GBS Software AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing GBS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GBS Software Predictive Forecast Models

GBS Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many GBS Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GBS Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GBS Software AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about GBS Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GBS Software AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GBS Software AG has accumulated 2.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.37, which is about average as compared to similar companies. GBS Software AG has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GBS Software until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GBS Software's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GBS Software AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GBS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GBS Software's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Additional Tools for GBS Stock Analysis

When running GBS Software's price analysis, check to measure GBS Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GBS Software is operating at the current time. Most of GBS Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GBS Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GBS Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GBS Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.