Inspired Entertainment Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.34
| INSE Stock | USD 9.21 0.13 1.39% |
Inspired |
Inspired Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 9.34
The tendency of Inspired Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.34 or more in 90 days |
| 9.21 | 90 days | 9.34 | about 68.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inspired Entertainment to move over $ 9.34 or more in 90 days from now is about 68.38 (This Inspired Entertainment probability density function shows the probability of Inspired Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inspired Entertainment price to stay between its current price of $ 9.21 and $ 9.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.29 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Inspired Entertainment has a beta of -0.28. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Inspired Entertainment are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Inspired Entertainment is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Inspired Entertainment has an alpha of 0.1579, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Inspired Entertainment Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Inspired Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inspired Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inspired Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inspired Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inspired Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inspired Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inspired Entertainment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inspired Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Inspired Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inspired Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inspired Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Inspired Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inspired Entertainment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC Reduces Stake in Inspired Entertainment Inc - GuruFocus.com |
Inspired Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inspired Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inspired Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inspired Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40 M |
Inspired Entertainment Technical Analysis
Inspired Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inspired Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inspired Entertainment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inspired Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Inspired Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
Inspired Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inspired Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inspired Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Inspired Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about Inspired Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inspired Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Inspired Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Inspired Entertainment has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: PRIVATE MANAGEMENT GROUP INC Reduces Stake in Inspired Entertainment Inc - GuruFocus.com |
Check out Inspired Entertainment Backtesting, Inspired Entertainment Valuation, Inspired Entertainment Correlation, Inspired Entertainment Hype Analysis, Inspired Entertainment Volatility, Inspired Entertainment History as well as Inspired Entertainment Performance. For information on how to trade Inspired Stock refer to our How to Trade Inspired Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inspired Entertainment. If investors know Inspired will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inspired Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share (0.01) | Revenue Per Share 10.489 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) | Return On Assets 0.0727 |
The market value of Inspired Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inspired that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inspired Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inspired Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inspired Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inspired Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inspired Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inspired Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inspired Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.