Tanah Laut (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 91.54
| INDX Stock | IDR 86.00 1.00 1.18% |
Tanah |
Tanah Laut Target Price Odds to finish over 91.54
The tendency of Tanah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 91.54 or more in 90 days |
| 86.00 | 90 days | 91.54 | about 16.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tanah Laut to move over 91.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.58 (This Tanah Laut Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Tanah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tanah Laut Tbk price to stay between its current price of 86.00 and 91.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tanah Laut Tbk has a beta of -0.46. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tanah Laut are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tanah Laut Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tanah Laut Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tanah Laut Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tanah Laut
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tanah Laut Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tanah Laut Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tanah Laut is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tanah Laut's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tanah Laut Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tanah Laut within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Tanah Laut Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tanah Laut for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tanah Laut Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tanah Laut Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.97 B. | |
| Tanah Laut Tbk has accumulated about 2.53 B in cash with (1.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Tanah Laut Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tanah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tanah Laut's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tanah Laut's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 437.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.7 B |
Tanah Laut Technical Analysis
Tanah Laut's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tanah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tanah Laut Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tanah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tanah Laut Predictive Forecast Models
Tanah Laut's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tanah Laut's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tanah Laut's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tanah Laut Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tanah Laut for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tanah Laut Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tanah Laut Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.8 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.97 B. | |
| Tanah Laut Tbk has accumulated about 2.53 B in cash with (1.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Tanah Stock
Tanah Laut financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tanah Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tanah with respect to the benefits of owning Tanah Laut security.