India Glycols (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1406.95
| INDIAGLYCO | 1,273 11.15 0.87% |
India |
India Glycols Target Price Odds to finish below 1406.95
The tendency of India Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,407 after 90 days |
| 1,273 | 90 days | 1,407 | about 84.66 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of India Glycols to stay under 1,407 after 90 days from now is about 84.66 (This India Glycols Limited probability density function shows the probability of India Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of India Glycols Limited price to stay between its current price of 1,273 and 1,407 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon India Glycols has a beta of 0.42. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, India Glycols average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding India Glycols Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally India Glycols Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. India Glycols Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for India Glycols
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as India Glycols Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.India Glycols Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. India Glycols is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the India Glycols' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold India Glycols Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of India Glycols within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0092 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 107.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0095 |
India Glycols Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of India Glycols for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for India Glycols Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| India Glycols had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: India Glycols Downgraded to Sell by MarketsMOJO, But Positive Results and Institutional Interest Offer Potential Upside - MarketsMojo |
India Glycols Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of India Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential India Glycols' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. India Glycols' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 746.4 M |
India Glycols Technical Analysis
India Glycols' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. India Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of India Glycols Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing India Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
India Glycols Predictive Forecast Models
India Glycols' time-series forecasting models is one of many India Glycols' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary India Glycols' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about India Glycols Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about India Glycols for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for India Glycols Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| India Glycols had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: India Glycols Downgraded to Sell by MarketsMOJO, But Positive Results and Institutional Interest Offer Potential Upside - MarketsMojo |
Other Information on Investing in India Stock
India Glycols financial ratios help investors to determine whether India Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in India with respect to the benefits of owning India Glycols security.