INTERNET INJPADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.08

IIJ Stock  EUR 30.60  0.60  2.00%   
INTERNET INJPADR's future price is the expected price of INTERNET INJPADR instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of INTERNET INJPADR 1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out INTERNET INJPADR Backtesting, INTERNET INJPADR Valuation, INTERNET INJPADR Correlation, INTERNET INJPADR Hype Analysis, INTERNET INJPADR Volatility, INTERNET INJPADR History as well as INTERNET INJPADR Performance.
  
Please specify INTERNET INJPADR's target price for which you would like INTERNET INJPADR odds to be computed.

INTERNET INJPADR Target Price Odds to finish below 30.08

The tendency of INTERNET Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 30.08  or more in 90 days
 30.60 90 days 30.08 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTERNET INJPADR to drop to € 30.08  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This INTERNET INJPADR 1 probability density function shows the probability of INTERNET Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INTERNET INJPADR 1 price to stay between € 30.08  and its current price of €30.6 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon INTERNET INJPADR 1 has a beta of -0.0744. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding INTERNET INJPADR are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, INTERNET INJPADR 1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally INTERNET INJPADR 1 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   INTERNET INJPADR Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for INTERNET INJPADR

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTERNET INJPADR 1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.8030.6032.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.1828.9830.78
Details

INTERNET INJPADR Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTERNET INJPADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTERNET INJPADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTERNET INJPADR 1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTERNET INJPADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

INTERNET INJPADR Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INTERNET INJPADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INTERNET INJPADR 1 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
INTERNET INJPADR 1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

INTERNET INJPADR Technical Analysis

INTERNET INJPADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTERNET Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTERNET INJPADR 1. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTERNET Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

INTERNET INJPADR Predictive Forecast Models

INTERNET INJPADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTERNET INJPADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTERNET INJPADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about INTERNET INJPADR 1

Checking the ongoing alerts about INTERNET INJPADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INTERNET INJPADR 1 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
INTERNET INJPADR 1 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in INTERNET Stock

INTERNET INJPADR financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTERNET Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTERNET with respect to the benefits of owning INTERNET INJPADR security.