Indian Energy (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 166.21

IEX Stock   178.10  0.40  0.22%   
Indian Energy's future price is the expected price of Indian Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Indian Energy Exchange performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Indian Energy Backtesting, Indian Energy Valuation, Indian Energy Correlation, Indian Energy Hype Analysis, Indian Energy Volatility, Indian Energy History as well as Indian Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Indian Energy's target price for which you would like Indian Energy odds to be computed.

Indian Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 166.21

The tendency of Indian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  166.21  in 90 days
 178.10 90 days 166.21 
about 90.49
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Indian Energy to stay above  166.21  in 90 days from now is about 90.49 (This Indian Energy Exchange probability density function shows the probability of Indian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Indian Energy Exchange price to stay between  166.21  and its current price of 178.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.97 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Indian Energy Exchange has a beta of -0.0101. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Indian Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Indian Energy Exchange is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Indian Energy Exchange has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Indian Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Indian Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Indian Energy Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
176.19178.54180.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
160.29189.22191.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
187.75190.10192.45
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.341.341.34
Details

Indian Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Indian Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Indian Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Indian Energy Exchange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Indian Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.01
σ
Overall volatility
20.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Indian Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Indian Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Indian Energy Exchange can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indian Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Market coupling fear returns IEX stock slips 11 top loser on BSE - MSN

Indian Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Indian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Indian Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Indian Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding889.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.2 B

Indian Energy Technical Analysis

Indian Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Indian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Indian Energy Exchange. In general, you should focus on analyzing Indian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Indian Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Indian Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Indian Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Indian Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Indian Energy Exchange

Checking the ongoing alerts about Indian Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Indian Energy Exchange help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Indian Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Market coupling fear returns IEX stock slips 11 top loser on BSE - MSN

Other Information on Investing in Indian Stock

Indian Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indian with respect to the benefits of owning Indian Energy security.