Trust Stamp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.45
| IDAI Stock | USD 0.45 0 0.89% |
Trust |
Trust Stamp Target Price Odds to finish below 0.45
The tendency of Trust Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.45 | 90 days | 0.45 | about 85.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trust Stamp to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 85.65 (This Trust Stamp probability density function shows the probability of Trust Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trust Stamp has a beta of -0.0313. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Trust Stamp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Trust Stamp is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Trust Stamp has an alpha of 2.8204, implying that it can generate a 2.82 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trust Stamp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trust Stamp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trust Stamp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trust Stamp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trust Stamp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trust Stamp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trust Stamp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trust Stamp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Trust Stamp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trust Stamp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trust Stamp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trust Stamp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Trust Stamp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Trust Stamp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Trust Stamp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.53 M. | |
| Trust Stamp currently holds about 2.83 M in cash with (7.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Trust Stamp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Trust Stamp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trust Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trust Stamp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trust Stamp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 M |
Trust Stamp Technical Analysis
Trust Stamp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trust Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trust Stamp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trust Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trust Stamp Predictive Forecast Models
Trust Stamp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trust Stamp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trust Stamp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trust Stamp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trust Stamp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trust Stamp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trust Stamp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Trust Stamp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Trust Stamp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Trust Stamp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.53 M. | |
| Trust Stamp currently holds about 2.83 M in cash with (7.85 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.12. | |
| Trust Stamp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading |
Check out Trust Stamp Backtesting, Trust Stamp Valuation, Trust Stamp Correlation, Trust Stamp Hype Analysis, Trust Stamp Volatility, Trust Stamp History as well as Trust Stamp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Trust Stock please use our How to Invest in Trust Stamp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trust Stamp. If investors know Trust will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trust Stamp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.85) | Revenue Per Share 0.483 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.086 | Return On Assets (0.72) | Return On Equity (3.73) |
The market value of Trust Stamp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trust that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trust Stamp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trust Stamp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trust Stamp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trust Stamp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trust Stamp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trust Stamp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trust Stamp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.