Cf Tips Bd Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.26
| IBTCX Fund | USD 10.42 0.02 0.19% |
IBTCX |
Cf Tips Target Price Odds to finish below 10.26
The tendency of IBTCX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 10.26 or more in 90 days |
| 10.42 | 90 days | 10.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cf Tips to drop to $ 10.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cf Tips Bd probability density function shows the probability of IBTCX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cf Tips Bd price to stay between $ 10.26 and its current price of $10.42 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cf Tips has a beta of 0.0265. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Cf Tips average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cf Tips Bd will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cf Tips Bd has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cf Tips Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cf Tips
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cf Tips Bd. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cf Tips' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cf Tips Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cf Tips is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cf Tips' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cf Tips Bd, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cf Tips within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Cf Tips Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cf Tips for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cf Tips Bd can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cf Tips Bd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Cf Tips Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IBTCX Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cf Tips' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cf Tips' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Cf Tips Technical Analysis
Cf Tips' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IBTCX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cf Tips Bd. In general, you should focus on analyzing IBTCX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cf Tips Predictive Forecast Models
Cf Tips' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cf Tips' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cf Tips' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cf Tips Bd
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cf Tips for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cf Tips Bd help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cf Tips Bd generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in IBTCX Mutual Fund
Cf Tips financial ratios help investors to determine whether IBTCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IBTCX with respect to the benefits of owning Cf Tips security.
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