Installed Building Products Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 211.40
| IBP Stock | USD 198.50 7.27 3.53% |
Installed |
Installed Building Target Price Odds to finish below 211.40
The tendency of Installed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 211.40 after 90 days |
| 198.50 | 90 days | 211.40 | about 14.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Installed Building to stay under $ 211.40 after 90 days from now is about 14.41 (This Installed Building Products probability density function shows the probability of Installed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Installed Building price to stay between its current price of $ 198.50 and $ 211.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.63 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Installed Building will likely underperform. Additionally Installed Building Products has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Installed Building Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Installed Building
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Installed Building. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Installed Building Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Installed Building is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Installed Building's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Installed Building Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Installed Building within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Installed Building Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Installed Building for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Installed Building can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Installed Building generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Installed Building has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Quanex posts mixed Q4 earnings, shares fall 3 |
Installed Building Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Installed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Installed Building's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Installed Building's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 386.5 M |
Installed Building Technical Analysis
Installed Building's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Installed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Installed Building Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing Installed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Installed Building Predictive Forecast Models
Installed Building's time-series forecasting models is one of many Installed Building's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Installed Building's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Installed Building
Checking the ongoing alerts about Installed Building for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Installed Building help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Installed Building generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Installed Building has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Quanex posts mixed Q4 earnings, shares fall 3 |
Additional Tools for Installed Stock Analysis
When running Installed Building's price analysis, check to measure Installed Building's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Installed Building is operating at the current time. Most of Installed Building's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Installed Building's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Installed Building's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Installed Building to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.