Huntsman Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.03
| HUN Stock | USD 18.26 0.38 2.13% |
Huntsman |
Huntsman Target Price Odds to finish below 18.03
The tendency of Huntsman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 18.03 or more in 90 days |
| 18.26 | 90 days | 18.03 | about 5.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huntsman to drop to $ 18.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.24 (This Huntsman probability density function shows the probability of Huntsman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huntsman price to stay between $ 18.03 and its current price of $18.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.4 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Huntsman has a beta of 0.56. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Huntsman average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huntsman will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Huntsman has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Huntsman Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Huntsman
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huntsman. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huntsman's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Huntsman Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huntsman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huntsman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huntsman, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huntsman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Huntsman Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huntsman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huntsman can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Huntsman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Franklin Resources Inc. Sells 71,859 Shares of Huntsman Co. |
Huntsman Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huntsman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huntsman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huntsman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 177.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 540 M |
Huntsman Technical Analysis
Huntsman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huntsman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huntsman. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huntsman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Huntsman Predictive Forecast Models
Huntsman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huntsman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huntsman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Huntsman
Checking the ongoing alerts about Huntsman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huntsman help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Huntsman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Franklin Resources Inc. Sells 71,859 Shares of Huntsman Co. |
Check out Huntsman Backtesting, Huntsman Valuation, Huntsman Correlation, Huntsman Hype Analysis, Huntsman Volatility, Huntsman History as well as Huntsman Performance. To learn how to invest in Huntsman Stock, please use our How to Invest in Huntsman guide.You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Diversified Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Huntsman. If investors know Huntsman will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Huntsman listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.206 | Dividend Share 0.988 | Earnings Share (0.60) | Revenue Per Share 34.793 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.023 |
The market value of Huntsman is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Huntsman that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Huntsman's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Huntsman's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Huntsman's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Huntsman's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Huntsman's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Huntsman is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Huntsman's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.