Huhtamaki Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.16
| HUH1V Stock | EUR 34.36 0.20 0.59% |
Huhtamaki |
Huhtamaki Oyj Target Price Odds to finish over 34.16
The tendency of Huhtamaki Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 34.16 in 90 days |
| 34.36 | 90 days | 34.16 | about 75.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huhtamaki Oyj to stay above € 34.16 in 90 days from now is about 75.16 (This Huhtamaki Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Huhtamaki Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huhtamaki Oyj price to stay between € 34.16 and its current price of €34.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Huhtamaki Oyj has a beta of 0.0061. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Huhtamaki Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huhtamaki Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Huhtamaki Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Huhtamaki Oyj Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Huhtamaki Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huhtamaki Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Huhtamaki Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Huhtamaki Oyj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huhtamaki Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huhtamaki Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huhtamaki Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huhtamaki Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Huhtamaki Oyj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Huhtamaki Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Huhtamaki Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Huhtamaki Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Huhtamaki Oyj has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Huhtamaki Oyj Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huhtamaki Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huhtamaki Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huhtamaki Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 104.4 M |
Huhtamaki Oyj Technical Analysis
Huhtamaki Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huhtamaki Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huhtamaki Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huhtamaki Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Huhtamaki Oyj Predictive Forecast Models
Huhtamaki Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huhtamaki Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huhtamaki Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Huhtamaki Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Huhtamaki Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Huhtamaki Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Huhtamaki Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Huhtamaki Oyj has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Huhtamaki Stock
Huhtamaki Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huhtamaki Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huhtamaki with respect to the benefits of owning Huhtamaki Oyj security.